10
Marmara
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |