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Myra Fleener
8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 54
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |