2
So Grand
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 58
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 4/11 | 98% | 33% | -0.65 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |