6
St Joe Fury
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 30
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |