1
Trophy Husband
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 65
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |