2

Ramses The Great

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 74

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 15/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS15/11C6C9 @ Gulfstream 14/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f110y Fas 120C7 @ Gulfstream 08/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 48 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 48 par8/01C7OR 48C7 @ Gulfstream 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 54 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 54 parC7 @ Gulfstream 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 71 par6/03C7OR 71C7 @ Gulfstream 09/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 79 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Penn National 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 73 par24/06C5OR 73C7 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m70y Sft 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 81 par28/08C7OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-06-24Penn National?3rd0th+3
2026-04-09Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-03-06Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-02-12Gulfstream?2nd1st+1
2026-01-08Gulfstream?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1112/0224/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/20256th10/147%0%-0.47
14/12/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
08/01/20264th8/1397%40%-0.57
12/02/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24
06/03/20263rd13/891%75%-0.16
09/04/20265th11/893%0%-0.93
24/06/20263rd15/890%60%-0.30
28/08/20268th4/179%0%-0.79