3
Viva Victory
7yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 56
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |