Bottled Time

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 55

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

4/6

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +0.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-19	Presque Isle Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-07-21	Thistledown	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2025-08-19	Thistledown	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8
2025-07-03	Thistledown	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 6

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
03/07/2025	4th	9/4	88%	0%	-0.88
19/08/2025	5th	11/4	86%	20%	-0.66
21/07/2026	7th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
19/08/2026	1st	4/6	96%	100%	+0.04