Boujie Betz
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |