3
Charlotte's Cay
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 83
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |