2
The Jeweler
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |