6

Time On The Run

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 57

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 1212/05C6C6 @ Penn National 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 52 · 5f 121 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 52 par2/06C6OR 52C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 41 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 41 par26/08C6OR 41projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-02Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02Penn National?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/052/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/20268th4/179%0%-0.79
02/06/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
26/08/20264th10/382%25%-0.57