3
Botita
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 71
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-07-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-06-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2023 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 08/02/2023 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 12/06/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 26/06/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 10/07/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |