2
Cherokee Chatter
9yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 71
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |