4
Jayana
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 64
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |