6

Rainbow Ship

8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 30

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Thistledown 30/04/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark30/04/2024 · OR 75 par30/04C8OR 75C8 @ Thistledown 11/06/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark11/06/2024 · OR 73 parC8 @ Thistledown 03/07/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark03/07/2024 · OR 68 par3/07C8OR 68C8 @ Thistledown 30/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 63 · 1m Gd 123 · below its mark30/07/2024 · OR 63 parC8 @ Thistledown 09/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark09/09/2024 · OR 64 par9/09C8OR 64C8 @ Thistledown 08/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 39 · 6f 123 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 39 parC8 @ Thistledown 29/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 32 · 6f 123 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 32 par29/09C8OR 32C8 @ Thistledown 14/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 40 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 40 parC8 @ Thistledown 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 36 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 36 par18/08C8OR 36projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Thistledown?5th5th0
2025-10-14Thistledown?5th5th0
2025-09-29Thistledown?4th4th0
2025-09-08Thistledown?4th4th0
2024-09-09Thistledown?6th6th0
2024-07-30Thistledown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0430/0729/0918/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20245th15/890%20%-0.70
11/06/20247th7/163%0%-0.63
03/07/20245th16/116%20%+0.04
30/07/20244th7/163%0%-0.63
09/09/20246th14/126%0%-0.26
08/09/20254th14/126%0%-0.26
29/09/20254th12/137%0%-0.37
14/10/20255th33/10%33%+0.33
18/08/20265th16/116%0%-0.16