5
Sacred Love
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 53
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |