3
Chilling Hassle
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Penn National | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |