1
Good Directions
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength86%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +3.1
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-06-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-05-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2024-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | -1th | +7 |
| 2024-07-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2024-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/07/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/08/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 30/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |