7
Leigh's Last Hero
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |