5

Prince Khozan

9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Laurel Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 85 par16/01C7OR 85C8 @ Laurel Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 83 · 1m 123 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Laurel Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 84 par28/02C7OR 84C8 @ Laurel Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m1f 123 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m1f Fm 119 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 83 par25/04C8OR 83C7 @ Laurel Park 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 81 parC7 @ Laurel Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 81 par31/05C7OR 81C8 @ Penn National 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 78 par25/08C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-22Penn National?8th8th0
2026-05-31Laurel Park?8th7th+1
2026-05-08Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2026-04-25Laurel Park?4th4th0
2026-03-22Laurel Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0122/0331/0525/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
14/02/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
28/02/20267th33/10%0%0.00
22/03/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
25/04/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
08/05/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
31/05/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
22/07/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
25/08/20264th9/153%40%-0.13