1
Duel Fuel
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |