2
I'm No Angel
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |