7
Exceptionally
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 96
Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m 30y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength67%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | -5th | +7 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |