14

Wunderschon

2yo Filly · 9-2

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m 30y

#3

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sea The Moon sister to smart German winner up to 11f Wonderful Moon. Has shown plenty of ability at long odds in Galway/Roscommon contests this summer. Longer trip here will suit and is one to keep on side.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Yie 12828/07C8C0 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f94y Yie 12531/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?3rd3rd0
2026-07-28Galway?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20267th80/10%45%+0.45
31/08/20263rd40/10%75%+0.75