2

Dancinginthecity

2yo Colt · 9-7

Punchestown · Punchestown Is Back Maiden · 1m 30y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

39%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising type who showed plenty of ability when second of 10 in maiden over a longer trip at the Curragh on debut 30 days ago. May well do better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13316/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20262nd13/266%89%+0.23