4

Epic Arch

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Punchestown · Punchestown Is Back Maiden · 1m 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Once-raced gelding. Sixth of 13 in maiden (40/1) at Dundalk (1m) on debut 31 days ago. Likely to need more time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13315/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Dundalk?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20266th40/10%58%+0.58