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6

Francillon

2yo Colt · 9-7

Punchestown · Punchestown Is Back Maiden · 1m 30y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/15

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Posted very promising debut effort when runner-up at Killarney (1m) in July. Couldn't quite match that form at Leopardstown since but must enter calculations here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Gd 13313/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 1316/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Leopardstown?4th4th0
2026-07-13Killarney?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22
06/08/20264th8/1597%57%-0.40