10

Mickian Thomas

2yo Colt · 9-7

Punchestown · Punchestown Is Back Maiden · 1m 30y

#8

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Timeform

Commentary

Twice-raced colt. 125/1, last of 6 in maiden claimer at Navan (1m, good) 19 days ago. Hard to fancy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 6f Goo 12616/08C8C7 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS27/08C7projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Navan?6th4th+2
2026-08-16Curragh?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/202616th80/10%12%+0.12
27/08/20266th125/10%0%0.00