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11

Noble Exhibit

2yo Colt · 9-7

Punchestown · Punchestown Is Back Maiden · 1m 30y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

48%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped very well on debut when keeping on for third in 16-runner maiden at the Curragh (7f) 24 days ago, the race won by an exciting prospect. Bred to be suited by this longer trip and could be ready to open his account.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 13322/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Curragh?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20263rd16/116%87%+0.71