12

Paul Pierre

2yo Colt · 9-7

Punchestown · Punchestown Is Back Maiden · 1m 30y

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Once-raced colt. Eighth of 13 in maiden at the Curragh (1m, good to soft, 14/1) on debut 17 days ago, not knocked about. Open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20268th14/126%42%+0.15