5
Amenita
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 79
Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA85 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |