13

Duke Of Leggagh

6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 67

Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Now finds himself back below his last winning mark, gained in October but he's not come close to that form in 3 starts this summer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA71 @ Roscommon 01/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 71 · 1m4f17y Sft 131 · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 71 par1/0971OR 71BHA70 @ Galway 09/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 70 · 1m4f Sft 140 · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 70 parBHA69 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 69 · 1m1f100y Hvy 140 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 69 par20/0969OR 69BHA69 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 1m4f110y Sft 139 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 69 parBHA77 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 77 · 1m4f46y Sft 137 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 77 par13/1077OR 77BHA77 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 77 · 1m3f175y Hvy 137 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 77 parBHA77 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m4f179y Goo 130 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 77 par20/0777OR 77BHA75 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 75 · 2m110y Yie 135 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 75 parBHA72 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 72 · 1m4f48y Goo 142 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 72 par18/0872OR 72projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA7216th16th0
2026-07-29GalwayBHA7516th16th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA779th9th0
2025-10-20Gowran ParkBHA777th7th0
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA775th5th0
2025-10-01BellewstownBHA691st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/091/1020/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20255th12/137%73%+0.36
09/09/20258th14/126%59%+0.32
20/09/20254th7/163%80%+0.17
01/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
13/10/20255th9/276%67%-0.10
20/10/20257th9/153%57%+0.05
20/07/20269th40/10%0%0.00
29/07/202616th66/10%17%+0.17
18/08/202616th50/10%0%0.00