6
Flash Of Fire
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 79
Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Yarmouth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/5 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |