3
Frank Pickle
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 76
Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA79 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA79 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | BHA75 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Leopardstown | BHA77 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 85/40 | 89% | 55% | -0.34 |
| 19/10/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.23 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |