Hassaniya
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 68
Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA69 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA69 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.26 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 31/07/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |