9
No More Porter
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72
Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | BHA72 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA74 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | BHA72 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA72 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA69 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 04/06/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 95% | +0.89 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 42% | -0.27 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 02/09/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |