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12

Pillar Of Hope

8yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 71

Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to score this term but figures off a handy mark and returned to form when creditable fourth of 16 in handicap at Galway (1½m, good) 45 days ago, well positioned. Significantly back down in trip, which could be an issue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA70 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 70 · 1m2f Hvy 133 · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 70 par19/1070OR 70BHA70 @ Curragh 21/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 25 · OR 70 · 1m2f Hvy 147 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 70 parBHA82 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 23 · OR 82 · 1m Hvy 127 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 82 par2/1182OR 82BHA83 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 83 · 1m Sft 143 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 83 parBHA82 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 82 · 1m4f183y Goo 142 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 82 par8/0582OR 82BHA80 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 80 · 1m2f Goo 120 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA77 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 77 · 1m1f Sft 137 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 77 par4/0677OR 77BHA75 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m4f179y Goo 128 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 75 parBHA72 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 72 · 1m3f180y Yie 132 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 72 par1/0872OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01GalwayBHA724th4th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA756th6th0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA774th4th0
2026-05-23CurraghBHA8018th18th0
2026-05-08BallinrobeBHA828th8th0
2026-03-28CurraghBHA838th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1028/034/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
21/10/20252nd5/287%96%+0.09
02/11/20254th14/126%86%+0.60
28/03/20268th16/116%46%+0.30
08/05/20268th16/116%46%+0.30
23/05/202618th33/10%11%+0.11
04/06/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
20/07/20266th14/126%38%+0.11
01/08/20264th12/137%80%+0.43