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Spodo Komodo

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 75

Punchestown · Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m 30y

#14

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at the Curragh (6f) on fourth and final start last year. Stepped forward from this season's reappearance when second of 8 in 7f handicap at Naas but disappointing on both outings subsequently. Hopes pinned on step back up in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 21/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 13421/03C8C8 @ Curragh 12/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 134C8 @ Leopardstown 21/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 13421/08C8C8 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 68 · 6f Yie 134 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 68 parBHA79 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 79 · 7f Gd 129 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 79 par26/0679OR 79BHA78 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 78 · 7f Goo 135 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 78 parBHA78 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 78 · 5f205y Goo 135 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 78 par3/0878OR 78BHA78 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 78 · 7f111y Goo 138 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 78 par18/0878OR 78projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA7810th10th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA7810th10th0
2026-07-22NaasBHA782nd2nd0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA7910th10th0
2025-09-28Curragh?1st1st0
2025-08-21Leopardstown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0328/093/0818/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20254th20/10%77%+0.77
12/04/20254th15/261%77%+0.16
21/08/20253rd8/158%78%+0.20
28/09/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
26/06/202610th20/10%44%+0.44
22/07/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70
03/08/202610th7/163%10%-0.53
18/08/202610th14/126%31%+0.04