5
Minella Rockett
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 88
Punchestown · Punchestown Premiere Weekend November 21st & 22nd Race · 1m 1f 30y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA80 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | BHA83 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 21% | -0.44 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |