1
Puppet Master
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 97
Punchestown · Punchestown Premiere Weekend November 21st & 22nd Race · 1m 1f 30y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA104 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/06/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |