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3yo Colt · 9-8

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 1m 1f 30y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sales price rose to 80,000 gns last year and this Sea The Moon colt was second in a barrier trial and again in a 1m maiden here (split a good Ballydoyle pair) last summer. Tongue tie fitted for return and should improve if all is well. Obvious claims under Colin Keane.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m30y Goo 13316/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-16Punchestown?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20252nd9/153%89%+0.36