6

Matties Point

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 1m 1f 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in Dundalk/Leopardstown maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13412/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1346/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Leopardstown?12th12th0
2026-07-12Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
06/08/202612th100/10%15%+0.15