IvyArcIvyArc
7

One Cool County

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 1m 1f 30y

#14

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten in maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f73y Gd 13413/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f100y GF 13412/08C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f48y Goo 13418/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?10th10th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?9th9th0
2026-07-13Killarney?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0712/0818/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20266th66/10%29%+0.29
12/08/20269th250/10%27%+0.27
18/08/202610th250/10%31%+0.31