6
Adrienne
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 70
Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 1f 30y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Naas | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Leopardstown | 1 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 01/02/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |