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9

Eastern Peace

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 66

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 1f 30y

#12

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dundalk maiden winner last autumn and some promise in turf handicaps this season (shaped better than bare result at Leopardstown 2 starts ago). Has been dropped 4 lb and of interest in first-time cheekpieces with Shane Foley (on for her win) back on board.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 24/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f Goo 12824/081C8 @ Fairyhouse 06/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f Gd 129C8 @ Dundalk 31/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 12931/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 1m2f150y Std 129 · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 69 parBHA74 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 74 par3/1274OR 74BHA72 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 72 · 1m2f Gd 132 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 72 parBHA71 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 71 · 1m4f Goo 131 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 71 par26/0671OR 71BHA71 @ Leopardstown 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m1f Goo 121 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 71 parBHA70 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 70 · 1m3f Goo 140 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 70 par23/0870OR 70projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA707th7th0
2026-07-23LeopardstownBHA715th5th0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA7111th11th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA723rd3rd0
2025-12-03DundalkBHA749th9th0
2025-11-14Dundalk?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0814/1126/0623/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20244th150/10%25%+0.25
06/06/20259th16/116%47%+0.31
31/10/20254th11/142%77%+0.35
14/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
03/12/20259th6/168%27%-0.41
15/05/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64
26/06/202611th10/147%23%-0.24
23/07/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
23/08/20267th13/266%60%-0.06