1
Harana
4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 79
Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 1f 30y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA79 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA80 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA81 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | BHA75 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |