10

Neo Smart
5yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 66
Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 1f 30y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA68 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA68 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA69 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | BHA70 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA70 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 94% | +0.42 |