10

Neo Smart

5yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 66

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 1f 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Dundalk in February and has been shaping up well in turf handicaps, catching the eye over 1½m at the Curragh last time. Down 2 lb and one to note with this shorter trip in her favour.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA77 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m Std 135 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 77 par20/0377OR 77BHA76 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 76 · 7f111y Gd 136 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 76 parBHA73 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 73 · 1m Gd 133 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 73 par24/0573OR 73BHA70 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 70 · 1m Gd 132 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m2f Goo 130 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 70 par16/0770OR 70BHA69 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 69 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 69 parBHA68 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 138 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 68 par16/0868OR 68BHA68 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 68 · 1m4f Goo 119 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 68 parBHA68 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 68 · 1m4f Yie 169 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 68 par29/0868OR 68projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29CurraghBHA682nd2nd0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA686th6th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA686th6th0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA694th4th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA705th5th0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA704th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0326/0616/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20269th15/261%20%-0.41
11/05/20267th7/163%54%-0.09
24/05/20267th12/137%67%+0.30
26/06/20264th22/10%84%+0.84
16/07/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
07/08/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
16/08/20266th7/282%58%-0.23
22/08/20266th9/153%50%-0.03
29/08/20262nd9/153%94%+0.42