IvyArcIvyArc
4

Rest Your Mind

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 73

Punchestown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 1f 30y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had caught the eye on her final start in 2025/for the Kiely yard and was much improved for new yard when winning 8.3f Galway maiden on return last month, doing well to reel in one that got first run (he ran well next time). Should make her mark in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 20/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Yie 12920/07C8C8 @ Naas 11/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 12911/10C8C8 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f Hvy 12927/10C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1361/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?1st1st0
2025-10-27Galway?6th6th0
2025-10-11Naas?12th12th0
2025-07-20Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0711/1027/101/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20255th20/10%56%+0.56
11/10/202512th9/153%27%-0.26
27/10/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
01/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39