7

Chloe's Boy

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 50

Punchestown · Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 1f 30y

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden who shaped with a bit more encouragement at Navan last time. Another 3 lb drop will help his cause and he's not one to dismiss out of hand.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 10.8)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m Gd 13424/06C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1348/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f140y Goo 13417/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1341/08C8BHA58 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 58 · 1m6f Goo 128 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 58 par27/0858OR 58BHA53 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 53 · 1m2f10y Gd 129 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 53 par5/0953OR 53projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA539th9th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA5813th13th0
2026-08-01Galway?10th10th0
2026-07-17Down Royal?6th6th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?13th13th0
2026-06-24Naas?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/068/0717/071/0827/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/202614th150/10%7%+0.07
08/07/202613th300/10%14%+0.14
17/07/20266th250/10%17%+0.17
01/08/202610th150/10%18%+0.18
27/08/202613th50/10%29%+0.29
05/09/20269th50/10%60%+0.60